NOWE WEKTORY POLITYKI ZAGRANICZNEJ POLSKI PO WYBORACH 2015 R. I ICH KONSEKWENCJE DLA RELACJI POLSKA-UKRAINA

Abstract

Changes propounded by the winning right-wing camp in Poland have also comprised foreign policy. They postulated, inter alia, increase in Poland's role as an actor of the European Union, ceasing of being unduly succumbed to suggestions coming from the hard core of the EU – Berlin and Paris, return to the idea of Intermarium and making Great Britain Warsaw's leading partner in Europe. The new foreign policy of Poland has affected the level of bilateral relations with Ukraine. The previous model of the Polish-Ukrainian relations, based on the so called strategic partnership, is coming to an end, which implies that Warsaw will definitively abandon the ULB idea. Instead, Poland will start pursuing the concept of quasi-powerdom and Intermarium, involving the participant states of the Bucharest meeting, and thus without Ukraine. On the other hand, given the weakening position of Poland in the EU, its interest in Ukraine will be diminishing. Furthermore, the events of the recent months show that Kiev is not overly convinced about the concept on Warsaw’s intense engagement in the Ukrainian-Russian conflict settlement and does not see the need for expanding the Norman format with other countries, including Poland. Key words: Poland; Ukraine; European Union; NATO; United States; Russian Federation; Intermarium.