Novel clinical risk calculator for improving cancer predictability of mpMRI fusion biopsy in prostates.

Abstract

Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) assists in evaluating lesions on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI), but there are still ongoing efforts in improving the predictive value for the presence of clinically significant PCa (csPCa) with a Gleason grade group ≥ 2 on Fusion-Biopsy. This pilot study intends to propose an easily implementable method for augmenting predictability of csPCa for PI-RADS. A cohort of 151 consecutive patients underwent mpMRI Fusion and random US Biopsy as a result of having at least one PI-RADS lesion grade 3-5 between January 1, 2019 and December 31, 2022. A single radiologist reads all films in this study applying PI-RADS V2. Of the 151 consecutive patients, 49 had a highest lesion of PI-RADS 3, 82 had a highest lesion of PI-RADS 4, and 20 had a highest lesion of PI-RADS 5. For each respective group, 12, 42, and 18 patients had proven csPCa. Two predictive models for csPCa were created by employing a logistical regression with parameters readily available to providers. The models had an AUC of 0.8133 and 0.8206, indicating promising effective models. PI-RADS classification has relevant predictability problems for grades 3 and 4. By applying the presented risk calculators, patients with PI-RADS 3 and 4 are better stratified, and thus, a significant number of patients can be spared biopsies with potential complications, such as infection and bleeding. The presented predictive models may be a valuable diagnostic tool, adding additional information in the clinical decision-making process for biopsies.