Abstract

Edge computing aims at reducing computation and storage across the cloud and provides service with reduced latency. Edge devices can be mobile devices, routers, cameras, printers or any Internet of Things (IoT) devices that generate vast amounts of data. The processing of these data is done by virtual machines (VMs) present in the edge servers that are located within close proximity of the edge devices. This work proposes two models which predict resource contention at the edge servers, namely, a Dynamic Markov model for Resource Contention Prediction in Edge Cloud (DMRCP) and a Hybrid Cascade of Regression and Markov model for Resource Contention Prediction (CRMRCP). In DMRCP, a history matrix is updated based on the CPU utilization of a Virtual Machine (VM). This history matrix is used to update a transition probability matrix. This matrix is used to predict the future state of the VM. In the CRMRCP approach, the past CPU utilization values of the virtual machines in the edge servers are used for predicting a set of future CPU utilization values using linear regression, polynomial regression, lasso regression and ridge regression. Then, the predicted future CPU utilization values are used by the dynamic and the second-order Markov models to classify the state of the edge servers as overloaded, underloaded or normally loaded. In both the approaches, the VMs that may cause resource contention are predicted and are migrated to other edge servers such that the destination edge server does not get overloaded after the migration. The DMRCP method is compared with the first-order and the second-order Markov models and the number of VM migrations is analysed to evaluate the performance. The number of VM migrations in the CRMRCP method is compared with that in the second-order Markov model. The overall results prove that the number of VM migrations for the DMRCP is 52.9% less compared to the first-order Markov model and 21.1% less when compared to the second-order Markov model. The number of VM migrations in CRMRCP is reduced by 81.8% when ridge regression cascaded with the second-order Markov model is used.

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