Abstract

Correlated Equilibrium is a solution concept developed for arbitrary games, and Sunspot Equilibrium is a solution concept originally developed for competitive economic environments. In each of the two concepts, however, extrinsic uncertainty plays a major role. Extrinsic uncertainty does not affect the underlying environment in any way, but it may affect outcomes and payoffs if the uncertainty affects people’s actions. In these notes, we review the two solution concepts, and how they are related. Examples are presented in which pure speculation (trading based solely on differences in information) can be modeled as a Correlated Equilibrium or Sunspot Equilibrium.

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