Nonsurvey Methods for Projecting the Input-Output System at A Small Region Level: Three Alternative Approaches

Abstract

In this paper we propose new nonsurvey methods for simulating the input-output system at a small region level in an attempt to overcome the disadvantages of the simple location quotient approach. Two different models are newly proposed; one is derived directly from the traditional export determination model, and another is obtained by modifying the former model. After that, these two new methods as well as the simple location quotient method are applied to the actual data in Japan, with the aim of evaluating the performance of each method.