Abstract

The assessment of agreement in method comparison and observer variability analysis of quantitative measurements is usually done by the Bland–Altman Limits of Agreement, where the paired differences are implicitly assumed to follow a normal distribution. Whenever this assumption does not hold, the 2.5% and 97.5% percentiles are obtained by quantile estimation. In the literature, empirical quantiles have been used for this purpose. In this simulation study, we applied both sample, subsampling, and kernel quantile estimators, as well as other methods for quantile estimation to sample sizes between 30 and 150 and different distributions of the paired differences. The performance of 15 estimators in generating prediction intervals was measured by their respective coverage probability for one newly generated observation. Our results indicated that sample quantile estimators based on one or two order statistics outperformed all of the other estimators and they can be used for deriving nonparametric Limits of Agreement. For sample sizes exceeding 80 observations, more advanced quantile estimators, such as the Harrell–Davis and estimators of Sfakianakis–Verginis type, which use all of the observed differences, performed likewise well, but may be considered intuitively more appealing than simple sample quantile estimators that are based on only two observations per quantile.

Highlights

  • The classical Bland–Altman Limits of Agreement (BA LoA) define a range within which approximately 95% of normally distributed differences between paired measurements are expected to lie [1,2,3]

  • In cases of non-normally distributed differences, the use of empirical quantiles has been proposed as a robust alternative [2,4,5]; extensive research endeavors in the past have suggested the application of nonparametric quantile estimation to the assessment of 2.5% and 97.5%

  • Our findings are illustrated by an application to data from a previously published clinical study on coronary artery calcification measured by the Agatston score [6]

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Summary

Introduction

The classical Bland–Altman Limits of Agreement (BA LoA) define a range within which approximately 95% of normally distributed differences between paired measurements are expected to lie [1,2,3]. In cases of non-normally distributed differences, the use of empirical quantiles has been proposed as a robust alternative [2,4,5]; extensive research endeavors in the past have suggested the application of nonparametric quantile estimation to the assessment of 2.5% and 97.5%. The aim of this study was to suggest a nonparametric and robust alternative to the classical BA LoA when the normality assumption does not hold and/or the sample sizes are small to moderate. Our findings are illustrated by an application to data from a previously published clinical study on coronary artery calcification measured by the Agatston score [6].

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