Abstract

BackgroundThis study aimed to investigate integrating radiomics with clinical factors in cranial computed tomography (CT) to predict ischemic strokes in patients with silent lacunar infarction (SLI).MethodsRadiomic features were extracted from baseline cranial CT images of patients with SLI. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)–Cox regression analysis was used to select significant prognostic factors based on ModelC with clinical factors, ModelR with radiomic features, and ModelCR with both factors. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to compare stroke-free survival probabilities. A nomogram and a calibration curve were used for further evaluation.ResultsRadiomic signature (p < 0.01), age (p = 0.09), dyslipidemia (p = 0.03), and multiple infarctions (p = 0.02) were independently associated with future ischemic strokes. ModelCR had the best accuracy with 6-, 12-, and 18-month areas under the curve of 0.84, 0.81, and 0.79 for the training cohort and 0.79, 0.88, and 0.75 for the validation cohort, respectively. Patients with a ModelCR score < 0.17 had higher probabilities of stroke-free survival. The prognostic nomogram and calibration curves of the training and validation cohorts showed acceptable discrimination and calibration capabilities (concordance index [95% confidence interval]: 0.7864 [0.70–0.86]; 0.7140 [0.59–0.83], respectively).ConclusionsRadiomic analysis based on baseline CT images may provide a novel approach for predicting future ischemic strokes in patients with SLI. Older patients and those with dyslipidemia or multiple infarctions are at higher risk for ischemic stroke and require close monitoring and intensive intervention.

Highlights

  • This study aimed to investigate integrating radiomics with clinical factors in cranial computed tomography (CT) to predict ischemic strokes in patients with silent lacunar infarction (SLI)

  • The median follow-up duration was 615 (366–822) days; no difference was found between the training and validation cohorts, which had medians of 620 and 603 days and ranges of 365–855 and 371–855 days, respectively (p = 0.36, Mann–Whitney U test)

  • No distribution differences arose between the clinical characteristics or follow-up data of the two cohorts (Table 1)

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Summary

Introduction

This study aimed to investigate integrating radiomics with clinical factors in cranial computed tomography (CT) to predict ischemic strokes in patients with silent lacunar infarction (SLI). It is recommended that prevention strategies [3] adhere to guidelines of the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association [7], these guidelines appear to lack specialized strategies for high-risk patients. It is unclear whether all individuals with SLI should be considered at equivalent risk as those with symptomatic stroke and should receive antiplatelet drug therapy, statins, or revascularization therapy. If a high-risk of ischemic stroke can be detected, the patient may be classified into a future stroke prevention category, and reasonable stroke prevention therapies would be administered

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