Abstract
The non-homogeneous hidden Markov model (NHMM) generates the rainfall observation depends on few weather states which serve as a link between the large scale atmospheric measures. The daily rainfall at 20 stations from Peninsular Malaysia for 33 years sequences is analyzed using NHMM during the northeast monsoon season. A NHMM with six hidden states are identified. The atmospheric variable was obtained from NCEP Reanalysis Data as predictor. The gridded atmospheric fields are summarized through the principle component analysis (PCA) technique. PCA is applied to sea level pressure (SLP) to identify their principal spatial patterns co-varying with rainfall. The NHMM can accurately simulate the observed daily mean rainfall, correlations between stations for daily rainfall amounts and the quantile-quantile plots. It can be concluded that the NHMM is a useful method to simulate the daily rainfall amounts that may be used to prepare strategies and planning for the unpredicted disaster such as flood and drought.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
