Abstract

In this work, the prediction of a time series is formulated as a gaussian process regression, for different levels of noise. The gaussian regressor is translated into lower rank Dynamic Mode Decomposition methods that use kernels (K-DMD) — Kernel regression and Least Squares Support Vector Machines. The presented unified approach delivers an algorithm where the optimisation of the marginal likelihood function can be used to find the parameters of the kernel regression. The viability of the procedure is demonstrated on a chaotic series, with quite good adjustment results being obtained.

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