Nomographs for predicting crown fire initiation in Aleppo pine (Pinus halepensis Mill.) forests

Abstract

Nomographs that calculate the threshold values of surface fire parameters which lead to crown fire initiation were created by linking two separate fire behavior models: Van Wagner’s crown fire ignition criteria and Byram’s surface fire model. The nomographs were also based on the existing surface (fuel load, fuel heat content) and canopy (foliar moisture content, live crown base height) fuel models of Aleppo (Pinus halepensis Mill.) pine forests of Mediterranean Greece. The most important fire parameters for crown fire initiation that are calculated by the nomographs are the critical flame length and the forward spread rate of the surface fire. These parameters are readily observable in the field during fires. The nomographs provide a judicious way to assess whether a crown fire is likely to occur in a conifer forest stand. Although the fire behavior models used had limited testing and are based on certain assumptions, yet they are widely applied in forestry practice worldwide, as a basis for justified fire prevention and suppression planning.