Abstract

Decision-making in urologic oncology involves integrating multiple clinical data to provide an answer to the needs of a single patient. Although the practice of medicine has always been an “art” involving experience, clinical data, scientific evidence and judgment, the creation of specialties and subspecialties has multiplied the challenges faced every day by physicians. In the last decades, with the field of urologic oncology becoming more and more complex, there has been a rise in tools capable of compounding several pieces of information and supporting clinical judgment and experience when approaching a difficult decision. The vast majority of these tools provide a risk of a certain event based on various information integrated in a mathematical model. Specifically, most decision-making tools in the field of urologic focus on the preoperative or postoperative phase and provide a prognostic or predictive risk assessment based on the available clinical and pathological data. More recently, imaging and genomic features started to be incorporated in these models in order to improve their accuracy. Genomic classifiers, look-up tables, regression trees, risk-stratification tools and nomograms are all examples of this effort. Nomograms are by far the most frequently used in clinical practice, but are also among the most controversial of these tools. This critical, narrative review will focus on the use, diffusion and limitations of nomograms in the field of urologic oncology.

Highlights

  • A nomogram is a graphical calculating device, a two-dimensional diagram designed to allow the approximate graphical computation of a mathematical function or equation.The graphical presentation may be a number of rulers where variables are listed separately, with a number of points assigned to a given magnitude of the variable

  • This process is crucial: the choice of covariates will have a profound influence on the performance of the nomogram, and it should be based on clinical significance rather than on statistical significance alone

  • European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) calculator is available in different versions: two for lay people, where age, family history, urinary symptoms and Prostatic specific antigen (PSA) are taken into consideration; and two for physicians [9]

Read more

Summary

Introduction

A nomogram is a graphical calculating device, a two-dimensional diagram designed to allow the approximate graphical computation of a mathematical function or equation. The score obtained by the sum of all the variables is matched to a scale of outcome In another version, the formula is in a computer or smartphone-based calculator, where specific variables are entered, and the results of the nomogram are provided to the user [1]. This process is crucial: the choice of covariates will have a profound influence on the performance of the nomogram, and it should be based on clinical significance (derived from existing evidence) rather than on statistical significance alone. A statistical model must be chosen: logistic regression analysis with binary outcome is the most commonly used mathematical formula for prediction modelling in urology, while for survival analysis Cox proportional hazards model is used most of the times to fit Kaplan–Meier survival curves. Most of the results discussed in the present review, come from good-level retrospective studies, which play an important role in providing timely and accurate clinical answers

Diagnostic Phase
Post-Diagnosis Decision Making
Before Primary Treatment
After Primary Treatment
Bladder Cancer
MIBC: Prediction of RC Outcomes and Long-Term Survival
Kidney Cancer
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
Published version (Free)

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call