Abstract

Objective To analyze the potential risk factors that affect the development of urosepsis following uroscopic minimally invasive lithotripsy and to develop a nomogram that predicts the probability of postoperative urosepsis. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data from patients that underwent percutaneous nephrolithotripsy (PCNL) or ureteroscopic lithotripsy (URL) between January 2018 and December 2019. The enrolled patients were grouped twice according to systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA). After univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, we identified the independent predictive factors affecting the development of postoperative SIRS and urosepsis, and built the nomograms. Results From January 2018 to December 2019, 1959 patients underwent PCNL or URL, of whom 236 patients were accorded with the inclusion criteria. Of all 236 patients, 64 (27.12%) patients developed postoperative SIRS, and 17 (7.20%) patients developed postoperative urosepsis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that positive preoperative urine culture (PUC+) (OR = 2.331, P = 0.044), procalcitonin (PCT) (OR = 1.093, P = 0.037), C-reactive protein (CRP) (OR = 1.017, P < 0.001), and neutrophil ratio (NEUT%) (OR = 1.091, P = 0.004) of postoperative were independent predictors of SIRS, and PCT (OR = 1.017, P = 0.003) and CRP (OR = 1.080, P < 0.001) were independent predictors of urosepsis. Additionally, the nomograms demonstrated good accuracy in predicting SIRS and urosepsis with a C-index of 0.884 (95% CI: 0.835-0.934) and 0.941 (95% CI: 0.885-0.996), respectively. Conclusions The nomograms achieved the prediction of SIRS and urosepsis after uroscopic minimally invasive lithotripsy. Using this model, the risk of SIRS or urosepsis for an individual patient can be determined, which facilitates early diagnosis and rational treatment.

Highlights

  • Urolithiasis is one of the most common urologic diseases with increasing prevalence each year around the world

  • The management of urinary tract stones has evolved from traditional open surgeries to minimally invasive endourological procedures, among which percutaneous nephrolithotripsy (PCNL) and ureteroscopic lithotripsy (URL) have become the preferred treatment options for patients with upper urinary tract stones [3]

  • PUC+ (OR = 2:331; 95% CI: 1.022-5.317), PCT (OR = 1:093; 95% CI: 1.005-1.187), C-reactive protein (CRP) (OR = 1:017; 95% CI: 1.009-1.024), and NEUT% (OR = 1:091; 95% CI: 1.0291.157) were independently associated with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS)

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Summary

Objective

To analyze the potential risk factors that affect the development of urosepsis following uroscopic minimally invasive lithotripsy and to develop a nomogram that predicts the probability of postoperative urosepsis. We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data from patients that underwent percutaneous nephrolithotripsy (PCNL) or ureteroscopic lithotripsy (URL) between January 2018 and December 2019. After univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, we identified the independent predictive factors affecting the development of postoperative SIRS and urosepsis, and built the nomograms. The nomograms achieved the prediction of SIRS and urosepsis after uroscopic minimally invasive lithotripsy. Using this model, the risk of SIRS or urosepsis for an individual patient can be determined, which facilitates early diagnosis and rational treatment

Introduction
Patients
Group Standard
Risk Factors
Statistical Analysis
Participant Characteristics
Independent Risk Factors
Development and Validation of Nomograms
Discussion
Conclusions
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