Nomogram for predicting lymph node metastasis in patients with ovarian cancer using ultrasonography: a multicenter retrospective study

Abstract

BackgroundOvarian cancer is a common cancer among women globally, and the assessment of lymph node metastasis plays a crucial role in the treatment of this malignancy. The primary objective of our study was to identify the risk factors associated with lymph node metastasis in patients with ovarian cancer and develop a predictive model to aid in the selection of the appropriate surgical procedure and treatment strategy.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of data from patients with ovarian cancer across three different medical centers between April 2014 and August 2022. Logistic regression analysis was employed to establish a prediction model for lymph node metastasis in patients with ovarian cancer. We evaluated the performance of the model using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, and decision analysis curves.ResultsOur analysis revealed that among the 368 patients in the training set, 101 patients (27.4%) had undergone lymph node metastasis. Maximum tumor diameter, multifocal tumor, and Ki67 level were identified as independent risk factors for lymph node metastasis. The area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC curve in the training set was 0.837 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.792–0.881); in the validation set this value was 0.814 (95% CI: 0.744–0.884). Calibration plots and decision analysis curves revealed good calibration and clinical application value.ConclusionsWe successfully developed a model for predicting lymph node metastasis in patients with ovarian cancer, based on ultrasound examination results and clinical data. Our model accurately identified patients at high risk of lymph node metastasis and may guide the selection of appropriate treatment strategies. This model has the potential to significantly enhance the precision and efficacy of clinical management in patients with ovarian cancer.