NOMOGRAM COMBINING PREOPERATIVE ULTRASONOGRAPHY WITH CLINICAL FEATURES FOR PREDICTING LYMPH NODES POSTERIOR TO THE RIGHT RECURRENT LARYNGEAL NERVE METASTASIS IN PATIENTS WITH PAPILLARY THYROID CANCER.

Abstract

To establish a nomogram combining preoperative ultrasonic and clinical features for predicting lymph nodes posterior to the right recurrent laryngeal nerve (LN-prRLN) metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients. Preoperative ultrasonic and clinical variables of patients with PTC from 2014 to 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The risk factors associated with LN-prRLN metastasis were identified and validated through a developed nomogram model based on univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. A total of 615 patients (690 lesions) were enrolled for the training dataset and 207 patients (226 lesions) for the validation dataset with 54 (6.57%) patients developing LN-prRLN metastasis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the preoperative ultrasound measurement of larger tumors (≥20 mm), higher TI-RADS category (category 5), and higher thyroglobulin level (9.86 ng/mL) in patients with PTC were predictive factors for LN-prRLN metastasis. The nomogram model was established and verified yielding a relatively good predictive performance in the training and validation dataset (AUC: 0.868 vs. 0.851). The nomogram combining preoperative ultrasonography with clinical features in this study is highly predictive of LN-prRLN metastasis in patients with PTC, which may provide more personalized recommendations for clinicians in preoperative decision-making for complete dissection of LN-prRLN.