Nomogram Based on Dual-Layer Spectral Detector CTA Parameter for the Prediction of Infarct Core in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke.

Abstract

(1) Background: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is time-sensitive. The accurate identification of the infarct core and penumbra areas in AIS patients is an important basis for formulating treatment plans, and is the key to dual-layer spectral detector computed tomography angiography (DLCTA), a safer and more accurate diagnostic method for AIS that will replace computed tomography perfusion (CTP) in the future. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the value of DLCTA in differentiating infarct core from penumbra in patients with AIS to establish a nomogram combined with spectral computed tomography (CT) parameters for predicting the infarct core and performing multi-angle evaluation. (2) Methods: Data for 102 patients with AIS were retrospectively collected. All patients underwent DLCTA and CTP. The patients were divided into the non-infarct core group and the infarct core group, using CTP as the reference. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen predictors related to the infarct core and establish a nomogram model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy, accuracy, and clinical practicability of the model, respectively. (3) Results: Multivariate logistic analysis identified three independent predictors: iodine density (OR: 0.022, 95% CI: 0.003-0.170, p < 0.001), hypertension (OR: 7.179, 95% CI: 1.766-29.186, p = 0.006), and triglycerides (OR: 0.255, 95% CI: 0.109-0.594, p = 0.002). The AUC-ROC of the nomogram was 0.913. Calibration was good. Decision curve analysis was clinically useful. (4) Conclusions: The spectral CT parameters, specifically iodine density values, effectively differentiate between the infarct core and penumbra areas in patients with AIS. The nomogram, based on iodine density values, showed strong predictive power, discrimination, and clinical utility to accurately predict infarct core in AIS patients.