Abstract

目的 评价提名法估测非法物质使用总人数的准确性和可行性.方法作者于2000年采用提名技术调查了6个地区非法物质使用者的社会网络吸毒情况;同时试用提名法估测了其中3地区1999年海洛因使用的总人数,并对估测结果的准确性进行检验和分析.结果该3地区估测使用人数与注册登记人数的比值分别为1.2874,1.3609,0.8629.结论提名法是估测某一地区某种非法物质使用总人数的一种可行的方法,其准确性取决于核心样本的代表性、提名资料的可靠性及基准人数统计的准确性。

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