No exponential rise in revision knee replacement surgery over the past 15 years: an analysis from the National Joint Registry

Abstract

To investigate trends in the incidence rate and the main indication for revision knee replacement (rKR) over the past 15 years in the UK. Repeated national cross-sectional study from 2006 to 2020 using data from the National Joint Registry (NJR). Crude incidence rates were calculated using population statistics from the Office for National Statistics. Annual total counts of rKR increased from 2,743 procedures in 2006 to 6,819 procedures in 2019 (149% increase). The incidence rate of rKR increased from 6.3 per 100,000 adults in 2006 (95% CI 6.1 to 6.5) to 14 per 100,000 adults in 2019 (95% CI 14 to 14) (122% increase). Annual increases in the incidence rate of rKR became smaller over the study period. There was a 43.6% reduction in total rKR procedures in 2020 (during the Covid-19 pandemic) compared to 2019. Aseptic loosening was the most frequent indication for rKR overall (20.7% procedures). rKR for aseptic loosening peaked in 2012 and subsequently decreased. rKR for infection increased incrementally over the study period to become the most frequent indication in 2019 (2.7 per 100,000 adults [95% CI 2.6 to 2.9]). Infection accounted for 17.1% first linked rKR, 36.5% second linked rKR and 49.4% third or more linked rKR from 2014 to 2019. Recent trends suggest slowing of the rate of increase in the incidence of rKR. Infection is now the most common indication for rKR, following recent decreases in rKR for aseptic loosening. Infection was prevalent in re-revision KR procedures.