NIMG-80. A RADIOMICS-BASED MODEL PREDICTIVE OF OVERALL SURVIVAL IN GLIOBLASTOMA USING MULTI-INSTITUTIONAL PREOPERATIVE MRI SCANS

Abstract

Abstract PURPOSE Though patients with glioblastoma generally have poor overall survival (OS), OS estimates range significantly. We sought to develop a radiomics-based model predictive of OS in glioblastoma using preoperative MRI scans to identify these differences and guide clinical care. METHODS The primary endpoint was OS, determined from the date of surgery to death or last follow-up. T1, FLAIR, T2, and post-contrast T1 (T1c) MRI sequences were obtained for all patients. Using HD-GLIO-AUTO, lesion segmentation yielded three masks corresponding to the regions of contrast enhancement, non-enhancement, and total volume. Radiomics features were extracted from each region from the T2 and T1c sequences independently (i.e. either from T2 or T1c) and in combination. Age at surgery and gender were also considered. The data was split into training (75%) and test (25%) sets, stratifying for age at surgery. Kaplan-Meier analysis and the Coxnet model were used. For Coxnet, Elastic Net was used as the penalty, with optimization of the L1 coefficient using 5-fold cross-validation and evaluation via the concordance index (C-index). RESULTS From 3 institutions, 383 patients were included. Median OS was 395 days: 346 patients died, and 37 were right-censored. Age > 65 years was predictive of decreased OS (p < 0.005), but gender was not (p=0.16). For the Coxnet model, the C-index was 0.67 (standard deviation: 0.01) considering T2 and T1c sequences for the total lesion volume, with a C-index of 0.65 for the test set. For the enhancing volume, the model had a C-index of 0.71 for the test set using T1c sequences. Overall, C-indices ranged from 0.62-0.71. CONCLUSIONS We present a novel radiomics-based model predictive of OS in glioblastoma across a multi-institutional dataset. Ongoing efforts will incorporate immediate postoperative imaging and IDH and MGMT status into the proposed model to further improve prognostic ability and help guide clinical decision-making.