Abstract

We aimed to launched new staging criteria to predict mTOR inhibitors treatment effect of renal angiomyolipomas (r-AMLs) in TSC patients. 40 TSC patients with 69 r-AMLs were divided into two groups based on the efficacy of 6-month mTOR inhibitor treatment. Epidemiological data, therapeutic response, and predictive factors of enrolled patients were collected and analyzed. Age, sex, maximum diameter, maximum cross-sectional area (CSAmax), unenhanced mean CT value, enhanced mean CT value, and added value of enhanced CT of largest r-AML at baseline were assessed as potential influencing factors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was used to estimate prediction power. After 6 months of mTOR inhibitor treatment, the tumor reduction rates in the two groups were 55.87% and 16.44% (P < 0.001). At the start of treatment, the maximum diameters, CSAmax, added value of enhanced CT of the target lesion in two groups were 7.70 ± 0.73cm vs. 13.18 ± 1.23cm(P = 0.028), 57.40 ± 10.76cm2 vs. 167.29 ± 33.09cm2 (P = 0.015), and 62.32 ± 5.03HU vs. 33.06 ± 3.13HU (P = 0.009), respectively. AUCs of CSAmax, added value of enhanced CT, and combination of both were 0.8024, 0.7672, and 0.8116, respectively (P < 0.001). Cut-off values of CSAmax combined with the added value of enhanced CT were 40cm2 and 46HU. AUCs of maximum diameters, combination of maximum diameters and added value of enhanced CT were 0.7600 and 0.8100, respectively (P < 0.001), with cut-off values of 6.6cm and 46 HU. New staging criteria, based on CSAmax and added value of enhanced CT, can predict the treatment efficiency of m-TOR inhibitors for r-AMLs in TSC patients. A simplified version based on maximum diameter and added value of enhanced CT of lesion has also been proposed.

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