New Models for Predicting Pore Pressure and Fracture Pressure while Drilling in Mixed Lithologies Using Artificial Neural Networks.

Abstract

Precise prediction of pore pressure and fracture pressure is a crucial aspect of petroleum engineering. The awareness of both fracture pressure and pore pressure is essential to control the well. It helps in the elimination of the problems related to drilling, waterflooding project, and hydraulic fracturing job such as fluid loss, kick, differential sticking, and blowout. Avoiding these problems enhances the performance and reduces the cost of operation. Several researchers proposed many models for predicting pore and fracture pressures using well log information, rock strength properties, or drilling data. However, some of these models are limited to one type of lithology such as clean and compacted shale formation, applicable only for the pressure generated by under compaction, and some of them cannot be used in unloading formations. Recently, artificial intelligence techniques showed a great performance in petroleum engineering applications. Hence, in this paper, two artificial neural network models are developed to estimate both pore pressure and fracture pressure through the use of 2820 data sets obtained from drilling data in mixed lithologies of sandstone, carbonate, and shale. The proposed artificial neural network (ANN) models achieved accurate estimation of pore and fracture pressures, where the coefficients of determination (R2) for pore and fracture pressures are 0.974 and 0.998, respectively. Another data set from the Middle East was used to validate the developed models. The models estimated the pore and fracture pressures with high R2 values of 0.90 and 0.99, respectively. This work demonstrates the validity and reliability of the developed models to calculate pore and fracture pressures from real-time surface drilling parameters by considering the formation type to overcome the limitation of previous models.