New insights into the crowd characteristics in Mina

Abstract

The significance of the study of the characteristics of crowd behavior is indubitable for safely organizing mass activities. There is insufficient material to conduct such research. In this paper, the Mina crowd disaster is quantitatively re-investigated. Its instantaneous velocity field is extracted from video material based on the cross-correlation algorithm. The properties of the stop-and-go waves, including fluctuation frequencies, wave propagation speeds, characteristic speeds, and time and space averaged velocity variances, are analyzed in detail. Thus, the database of the stop-and-go wave features is enriched, which is very important to crowd studies. The ‘turbulent’ flows are investigated with the proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) method which is widely used in fluid mechanics. And time series and spatial analysis are conducted to investigate the characteristics of the ‘turbulent’ flows. In this paper, the coherent structures and movement process are described by the POD method. The relationship between the jamming point and crowd path is analyzed. And the pressure buffer recognized in this paper is consistent with Helbing's high-pressure region. The results revealed here may be helpful for facilities design, modeling crowded scenarios and the organization of large-scale mass activities.