Abstract

The short-run market performance of initial public offerings (IPOs) indicates that the prices are often underpriced. This is widely accepted as a universal phenomenon. To find out whether Australian IPOs are underpriced, this paper analyzes the short-run market performance of 254 IPOs by industry, listing year and issue year. To measure the performance, the first-day returns are divided into the opening price primary market and the closing price secondary market, and the post-listing returns are also examined. The study found that, overall, Australian IPOs were underpriced by 25.47% based on abnormal returns and 26.43% on raw returns on the first-day primary market, which was statistically significant at the 1% level. However, analysis of the secondary market indicates that the Australian IPOs were overpriced by 1.55% and 1.54% on abnormal and raw returns, respectively, which was statistically significant at the 5% level. The examination of post-listing returns shows that Australian IPOs were underpriced based on cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) on the 3rd, 6th, and 10thdays by 24.63%, 24.06%, and 23.34%, respectively. The primary and post-listing analysis shows that IPOs in the industrial sector are more attractive to investors, whereas those in the chemical and materials sector are less attractive compared to other sectors. As far as the investors’ wealth is concerned, the study concludes that the short-run market performance analysis should consider both the first-day and post-listing returns

Highlights

  • The study found that, overall, Australian initial public offerings (IPOs) were underpriced by 25.47% based on abnormal returns and 26.43% on raw returns on the first-day primary market, which was statistically significant at the 1% level

  • All sample companies were underpriced in the firstday primary market by 26.43% based on the raw return and 25.47% based on the market-adjusted abnormal return

  • In comparison to the first-day primary market returns, the Australian IPOs were overpriced in the closing price secondary market by 1.54% and 1.55% based on raw returns and abnormal returns, respectively

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Summary

Introduction

The study found that, overall, Australian IPOs were underpriced by 25.47% based on abnormal returns and 26.43% on raw returns on the first-day primary market, which was statistically significant at the 1% level. The “hot issue” market phenomenon was introduced to the finance literature by Ibbotson and Jaffe (1975) It examined the short-run cyclical behavior of underpricing using the average initial return (AIR). A review of past Australian IPO studies indicates that short-run market performance has not been evaluated by combining the first-day opening price primary market return, the first-day closing price secondary market return, and the post-listing returns. This type of IPO market performance analysis could provide more valuable information to investors. This paper seeks to evaluate the shortrun market performance of Australian IPOs using the first-day primary and secondary market returns, and the post-listing returns by industry and different sample periods

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