New empirical model to evaluate groundwater flow into circular tunnel using multiple regression analysis

Abstract

There are various analytical, empirical and numerical methods to calculate groundwater inflow into tunnels excavated in rocky media. Analytical methods have been widely applied in prediction of groundwater inflow to tunnels due to their simplicity and practical base theory. Investigations show that the real amount of water infiltrating into jointed tunnels is much less than calculated amount using analytical methods and obtained results are very dependent on tunnel‘s geometry and environmental situations. In this study, using multiple regression analysis, a new empirical model for estimation of groundwater seepage into circular tunnels was introduced. Our data was acquired from field surveys and laboratory analysis of core samples. New regression variables were defined after perusing single and two variables relationship between groundwater seepage and other variables. Finally, an appropriate model for estimation of leakage was obtained using the stepwise algorithm. Statistics like R, R2, RP2 and the histogram of residual values in the model represent a good reputation and fitness for this model to estimate the groundwater seepage into tunnels. The new experimental model was used for the test data and results were satisfactory. Therefore, multiple regression analysis is an effective and efficient way to estimate the groundwater seepage into tunnels.