Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio to predict metachronous cancer after curative resection of early gastric cancer.

Abstract

313 Background: We investigate the predictive value of inflammatory markers for occurrence of metachronous cancers among patients who underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC) and are judged as curative resection (CR). Methods: We enrolled patients who were diagnosed as EGC and underwent ESD during 2006 and 2020. We retrospective collected data of inflammatory indexes such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and erythrocyte sediment ratio (ESR). Results: A total of 1,011 patients underwent ESD for EGC, achieved CR and were followed up more than 12 months. Among them, 86 patients had metachronous cancers (85/1011, 8.4%) during 53.4 months of follow-up. Compared with patients without metachronous cancers, those with metachronous cancers were significantly older (66.9 vs. 63.8 years, P=0.004) and had higher NLR (2.1 vs. 1.8, P=0.002), however, other inflammatory indexes such as PLR and ESR were not significantly different between two groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with NLR ≥ 2.0 had significantly higher possibility of metachronous cancer compared with patients with NLR < 2.0 ( P=0.049 by log rank test). After adjusting age, atrophy and Helicobacter pylori status, NLR was the only significant risk factor for metachronous cancer (odds ratio: 1.33, 95% confidence interval: 1.007-1.665, P=0.011). Conclusions: NLR may have a predictive value for occurrence of metachronous cancer after CR of EGC by ESD. Further thorough investigation is necessary to validate this outcome.