Neutrophil-lymphocyte score: A novel prognostic scoring system that utilized the dynamic change of neutrophil, lymphocyte, and albumin and its comparison to other indices.

Abstract

3048 Background: Indications for immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) in cancer care are expanding rapidly. There is increasing need for accurate decision tool to better guide treatment. We have constructed a new prognostic scoring system, neutrophil-lymphocyte score (NRS), based on the nonlinear dynamic change of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in relation to survival over the first cycle of ICI treatment. We compared this novel system to existing indices such as NLR, lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Advanced Lung Cancer Inflammation Index (ALI), and Systemic Immune-inflammation Index (SII). Methods: This is a retrospective analysis of 837 patients at Ohio State University from 2011-18. Neutrophil (ANC), lymphocyte (ALC), platelet (plt), monocyte (AMC), albumin (alb), and body mass index (BMI) were collected at baseline. Repeat labs were collected at cycle 2. NLR = ANC/ALC, ALI = BMI x alb / NLR, LMR = ALC/AMC, SII = platelet x NLR, PLR = plt/ALC. NLR Ratio = baseline NLR / repeat NLR. Based on the association between NLR and the overall survival, we assigned 1 point (p) for baseline NLR < 0.7, 6p for 0.7 to < 2, 5p for 2 to < 3, 4 p for 3 to < 4, 3 for 4 to 5, 2p for 5 to < 9, and 1p for ≥9. We also assigned 1p for NLR ratio < 0.6, 2p for 0.6 to < 0.8, 3p for 0.8 to < 1.2, 5p for 1.25 to < 1.4, 3p for 1.4 to < 1.6, and 2p for ≥1.6. NLS = sum of these 2 scores . NLS_A = NLS*alb. Time-dependent receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves with integrated time-dependent area under the curve (TD AUC) values were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy of each index for survival. Results: For baseline and repeat values, all indices were statistically significant (P < 0.001) in predicting survival. Baseline integrated TD AUC were: ALI 0.704, NLR 0.692, SII 0.663, LMR 0.645, and PLR 0.612. All of the repeat indices at cycle 2 had higher prognostic value than their baseline counterparts. Integrated TD AUC for indices at cycle 2 were: ALI 0.740 (with baseline BMI), NLR 0.729, SII 0.694, LMR 0.671, and PLR 0.652. NLS_A was a composite score based on the dynamic change of NLR from cycle 1 to 2 and the treatment alb with integrated TD-AUC at 0.754. Conclusions: Indices constructed from ANC, ALC, AMC, Plt, alb, and BMI can be obtained inexpensively and provide great prognostic value for pts on ICI. We have constructed a novel scoring system (NLS_A) and demonstrated its improvement over the current prognostic indices. Studies with a larger cohort are needed to further improve and validate this system.