Abstract

The observation of the recent electron neutrino appearance in a muon neutrino beam and the high-precision measurement of the mixing angle $\theta_{13}$ have led to a re-evaluation of the physics potential of the T2K long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment. Sensitivities are explored for CP violation in neutrinos, non-maximal $\sin^22\theta_{23}$, the octant of $\theta_{23}$, and the mass hierarchy, in addition to the measurements of $\delta_{CP}$, $\sin^2\theta_{23}$, and $\Delta m^2_{32}$, for various combinations of $\nu$-mode and \(\bar{\nu}\)-mode data-taking. With an exposure of $7.8\times10^{21}$~protons-on-target, T2K can achieve 1-$\sigma$ resolution of 0.050(0.054) on $\sin^2\theta_{23}$ and $0.040(0.045)\times10^{-3}~\rm{eV}^2$ on $\Delta m^2_{32}$ for 100\%(50\%) neutrino beam mode running assuming $\sin^2\theta_{23}=0.5$ and $\Delta m^2_{32} = 2.4\times10^{-3}$ eV$^2$. T2K will have sensitivity to the CP-violating phase $\delta_{\rm{CP}}$ at 90\% C.L. or better over a significant range. For example, if $\sin^22\theta_{23}$ is maximal (i.e $\theta_{23}$=$45^\circ$) the range is $-115^\circ<\delta_{\rm{CP}}<-60^\circ$ for normal hierarchy and $+50^\circ<\delta_{\rm{CP}}<+130^\circ$ for inverted hierarchy. When T2K data is combined with data from the NO$\nu$A experiment, the region of oscillation parameter space where there is sensitivity to observe a non-zero $\delta_{CP}$ is substantially increased compared to if each experiment is analyzed alone.

Highlights

  • The experimental confirmation of neutrino oscillations, where neutrinos of a particular fla3 vor can transmute to another flavor, has profound implications for physics

  • This paper provides a comprehensive update of the anticipated sensitivity of the T2K experiment to the oscillation parameters as given in the original T2K proposal [21], and includes an investigation of the enhancements from performing combined fits including the projected NOνA sensitivity

  • The combination of results from the two experiments at different baselines will further improve the sensitivity to the sign of ∆m232 and to δCP. In this paper we present the updated T2K sensitivity to neutrino oscillation parameters using a large value of sin2 2θ13 similar to that measured by the reactor experiments, together with the sensitivity when projected T2K and NOνA results are combined

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Summary

Introduction

The experimental confirmation of neutrino oscillations, where neutrinos of a particular fla vor (νe,νμ,ντ ) can transmute to another flavor, has profound implications for physics. The T2K experiment began data taking in 2009 [22] and a major physics goal, the discovery of νμ→νe appearance, has been realized at 7.3 σ level of significance with just 8.4% of the total approved POT [17] This is the first time an explicit flavor appearance has been observed from another neutrino flavor with significance larger than 5σ. This paper provides a comprehensive update of the anticipated sensitivity of the T2K experiment to the oscillation parameters as given in the original T2K proposal [21], and includes an investigation of the enhancements from performing combined fits including the projected NOνA sensitivity

Neutrino Mixing and Oscillation Framework
T2K Experiment
T2K Projected Sensitivities to Neutrino Oscillation Parameters
Expected observables and summary of current systematic errors
Effect of reduction of the systematic error size
T2K and NOνA Combined Sensitivities
Neutrino Mode and Antineutrino Mode Running Time Optimization
Findings
Summary
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