Abstract

The article discusses the concept of currency risk arising in foreign trade procedures and defines currency risk types: operational, translational, economic and hidden risks. The main factors influencing exchange rate are determined: level of inflation, interest rates in different countries, state of current accounts, amount of public debt, terms of trade and political stability. Methods of assessing currency risk using the Value-at-Risk methodology are presented: historical modeling, variancecovariance model, Monte Carlo modeling. Exchange-traded and overthe-counter currency risk management tools, such as options, futures, forwards, swaps, debt contracts, and natural hedging methods, are described in detail. Practical examples of using these tools to neutralize currency risk are also given.

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