Abstract

AimTo investigate geographical change over time in the burden of neurological impairments in school‐aged children in a demographic surveillance area.MethodWe investigated changes in neurological impairment prevalence in five domains (epilepsy and cognitive, hearing, vision, and motor impairments) using similar two‐phase surveys conducted in 2001 (n=10 218) and 2015 (n=11 223) and determined changes in location‐level prevalence, geographical clustering, and significant risk factors for children aged 6 to 9 years (mean 7y 6mo, SD 1y) of whom 50.4% were males. Admission trends for preterm birth, low birthweight (LBW), and encephalopathy were determined using admission data to a local hospital.ResultsOverall prevalence for any neurological impairment decreased from 61 per 1000 (95% confidence interval [CI] 48.0–74.0) in 2001 to 44.7 per 1000 (95% CI 40.9–48.6) in 2015 (p<0.001). There was little evidence of geographical variation in the prevalence of neurological impairments in either survey. The association between neurological impairments and some risk factors changed significantly with year of survey; for example, the increased association of adverse perinatal events with hearing impairments (exponentiated coefficient for the interaction=5.94, p=0.03). Annual admission rates with preterm birth (rate ratio 1.08, range 1.07–1.09), LBW (rate ratio 1.08, range 1.06–1.10), and encephalopathy (rate ratio 1.08, range 1.06–1.09) significantly increased between 2005 and 2016 (p<0.001).InterpretationThere was a significant decline in the prevalence of neurological impairments and differential changes in the associations of some risk factors with neurological impairments over the study period. Limited geographical variation suggests that similar interventions are appropriate across the defined area.

Highlights

  • JONATHAN A ABUGA1,2 | SYMON M KARIUKI1,3 | AMINA ABUBAKAR1,4 | CHRISTOPHER NYUNDO1 | SAMSON M KINYANJUI1,5 | MICHAEL BOELE VAN HENSBROEK2 | CHARLES RJC NEWTON1,3

  • We investigated changes in neurological impairment prevalence in five domains using similar two-phase surveys conducted in 2001 (n=10 218) and 2015 (n=11 223) and determined changes in location-level prevalence, geographical clustering, and significant risk factors for children aged 6 to 9 years of whom 50.4% were males

  • INTERPRETATION There was a significant decline in the prevalence of neurological impairments and differential changes in the associations of some risk factors with neurological impairments over the study period

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Summary

Introduction

JONATHAN A ABUGA1,2 | SYMON M KARIUKI1,3 | AMINA ABUBAKAR1,4 | CHRISTOPHER NYUNDO1 | SAMSON M KINYANJUI1,5 | MICHAEL BOELE VAN HENSBROEK2 | CHARLES RJC NEWTON1,3.

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