Abstract

AbstractUltra-Short-Term Load Forecasting plays an important role in Power Load Forecasting. Back Propagation Neural Network(BPNN) has become one of the most commonly used methods in Power System Ultra-Short-Term Load Forecasting for its ability of computing complex samples and training large-scale samples. However, traditional BPNN algorithm needs to set up a large amount of network training parameters, and it is easy to be trapped into local optima. A new algorithm which is Neural Network based on Dynamic Multi-Swarm Particle Swarm Optimizer (DMSPSO-NN) is proposed for Ultra-Short-Term Load Forecasting in this paper. DMSPSO-NN overcomes the shortage of traditional BPNN and has a good global search and higher accuracy which shows that it is suitable to be used for Ultra-Short-Term Load Forecasting.KeywordsUltra-Short-Term Load ForecastingBack Propagation Neural NetworkDynamic Multi-Swarm Particle Swarm Optimizer

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