Neural Network Approach for Cholera Dynamics: Integrating Deterministic and Stochastic Insights

Abstract

In this article, a comprehensive qualitative analysis framework is presented that integrates stochastic and deterministic models to explore the transmission dynamics of Cholera disease. The significance of the reproduction number in understanding the spread of the disease and in formulating effective control strategies is emphasized. The sensitivity analysis of model parameters is conducted to identify those that critically influence transmission. By converting the deterministic model into a stochastic form, Brownian motion and stochastic parameters are incorporated to capture the inherent randomness in disease dynamics. This approach is further enriched by the application of neural networks (NN) to simulate and validate the complex interactions involved in Cholera transmission. The analysis extends to the global positive solution, stochastic reproduction number, and virus-free stochastic dynamics, providing an improved understanding of the disease's behavior. The critical conditions necessary for the extinction and long-term elimination of the virus are also addressed, highlighting the importance of controlling its spread. The stationary distribution of the disease is examined through the lens of a regular Markov process, enhancing the understanding of the stochastic model's dynamics. The results verified by neural networks, compared with those obtained from conventional numerical methods, underscore the accuracy and versatility of neural networks in epidemiological research, offering new perspectives and methodologies for tackling this global health challenge.