Abstract
Analyzing social systems, particularly financial markets, using a complex network approach has become one of the most popular fields within econophysics. A similar trend is currently appearing within the econometrics and finance communities, as well. In this study, we present a state-of-the-artmethod for analyzing the structure and risk within stockmarkets, treating them as complex networks using model-free, nonlinear dependency measures based on information theory. This study is the first network analysis of the stockmarket in Shanghai using a nonlinear network methodology. Further, it is often assumed that markets outside the United States and Western Europe are inherently riskier. We find that the Chinese stock market is not structurally risky, contradicting this popular opinion. We use partial mutual information to create filtered networks representing the Shanghai stock exchange, comparing them to networks based on Pearson’s correlation. Consequently, we discuss the structure and characteristics of both the presented methods and the Shanghai stock exchange. This paper provides an insight into the cutting edge methodology designed for analyzing complex financial networks, as well as analyzing the structure of the market in Shanghai and, as such, is of interest to both researchers and financial analysts.
Highlights
Due to human involvement, financial markets constitute complex adaptive systems
We address the above-mentioned issue by using network analysis of financial markets based on mutual information, as well as partial mutual information
We present metrics based on mutual information and partial mutual information, both of which are used in this study
Summary
As economics does not have a theory fully explaining their behavior, the field is left with an assumption of the prices moving randomly, which is known as the efficient-market hypothesis [1,2]. Within this paradigm, the evolution of stock prices can only be explained by random processes. Network theory plays an important role in such treatments, and it is most often used for the above-mentioned study of interdependencies between financial instruments. A correlation-based network is created, which quantifies the interrelations between the studied set of financial instruments
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