Abstract

Abstract. Air pollution is one of the most pressing environmental issues in the Kathmandu Valley, where the capital city of Nepal is located. We estimated emissions from two of the major source types in the valley (vehicles and brick kilns) and analyzed the corresponding impacts on regional air quality. First, we estimated the on-road vehicle emissions in the valley using the International Vehicle Emissions (IVE) model with local emissions factors and the latest available data for vehicle registration. We also identified the locations of the brick kilns in the Kathmandu Valley and developed an emissions inventory for these kilns using emissions factors measured during the Nepal Ambient Monitoring and Source Testing Experiment (NAMaSTE) field campaign in April 2015. Our results indicate that the commonly used global emissions inventory, the Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution (HTAP_v2.2), underestimates particulate matter emissions from vehicles in the Kathmandu Valley by a factor greater than 100. HTAP_v2.2 does not include the brick sector and we found that our sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions estimates from brick kilns are comparable to 70 % of the total SO2 emissions considered in HTAP_v2.2. Next, we simulated air quality using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) for April 2015 based on three different emissions scenarios: HTAP only, HTAP with updated vehicle emissions, and HTAP with both updated vehicle and brick kilns emissions. Comparisons between simulated results and observations indicate that the model underestimates observed surface elemental carbon (EC) and SO2 concentrations under all emissions scenarios. However, our updated estimates of vehicle emissions significantly reduced model bias for EC, while updated emissions from brick kilns improved model performance in simulating SO2. These results highlight the importance of improving local emissions estimates for air quality modeling. We further find that model overestimation of surface wind leads to underestimated air pollutant concentrations in the Kathmandu Valley. Future work should focus on improving local emissions estimates for other major and underrepresented sources (e.g., crop residue burning and garbage burning) with a high spatial resolution, as well as the model's boundary-layer representation, to capture strong spatial gradients of air pollutant concentrations.

Highlights

  • Air pollution is one of the most pressing environmental issues in South Asia

  • We found that the inclusion of dust from Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers (MOZART) led to overestimated aerosol optical depth (AOD) at Jomsom in Nepal and at Qomolangma

  • We developed a point source emissions inventory for brick kilns in the Kathmandu Valley, and examined the impacts of emissions from on-road vehicles and brick kilns on local air quality for April 2015

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Summary

Introduction

Air pollution is one of the most pressing environmental issues in South Asia. According to the 2016 Environmental Performance Index, air quality in Nepal ranked fourth worst in the world (Angel and Alisa, 2016) and Kathmandu, its capital and largest metropolis, is one of the most polluted cities in Asia. Kathmandu lies in a bowl-shaped valley with a floor elevation of ∼ 1300 m surrounded by mountains of 2000 to 2800 m. It is inhabited by approximately 2.5 million people with a steady population growth of 4 % yr−1 (Muzzini and Aparicio, 2013). The unique topography coupled with high emissions of pollutants contribute to low air quality in the valley

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