Abstract
In this article, we exploit neo-functionalism as a conceptual and theoretical instrument that helps understand the current crisis and its future consequences. We formulate a series of suppositions and hypotheses, which we evaluate using existing data sources and related research. Our empirical analysis produces a mixed picture: though reality seems to conform with some neo-functionalist expectations, it contradicts some others. The latter disproven results, however, also suggest that there might be some corresponding increase in the likelihood that the EU could disintegrate.
Highlights
In this article, we exploit neo-functionalism as a conceptual and theoretical instrument that helps understand the current crisis and its future consequences
As we have seen in Supposition I.5, NF seemed to presume that it would not be necessary for the trans-national regional organization (TRO) to fulfill all of the requisites historically associated with the emergence of a sovereign national state
We structure the empirical discussion as follows: first, we examine degrees of interdependence; second we assess the resulting benefits and how these are perceived by the public; third, we discuss the role played by experts in this regard; fourth, we review evidence regarding the incremental character of integration and the respect for European Union (EU) decisions and we discuss conflict and politicization—which were intensified with the economic (2009–) and refugee crises (2015–)
Summary
The net benefits from this increase in regional interdependence will be positive, both for the economy as a whole and for the population at large. These benefits will be recognized and appreciated by those affected, and they will be (more-or-less) evenly distributed and shared across MSs. mass publics will tend to support positively the existing TRO and expansions of its competences in the future. Mass publics will tend to support positively the existing TRO and expansions of its competences in the future This support may take the form of passive consent or active assent, depending on the visibility of threats and the magnitude of benefits
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