Negative growth responses to temperature of sympatric species converge under warming conditions on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

Warming-induced drought stress leads to convergent and negative growth responses to temperature between sympatric tree species, implying an increasing interspecific competition for soil moisture. In mixed forests, sympatric tree species avoid competition by partitioning their niches according to available environment resources. We raise the hypothesis that climate warming leads to a convergence in growth responses to climate, thus increasing the competition among sympatric species in drought-prone forests. In this study, we selected a mixed forest located at ca. 3600 m a.s.l in the Baima Snow Mountains, an inner dry valley of the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. We measured width of the tree rings produced during 1910–2016 in 60 trees belonging to three sympatric species: Abies georgei, Picea likiangensis, and Betula delavayi. We analyzed the changes in radial growth and their responses to climate. We detected shifts in the responses to climate after the 1990s. The radial growth of all species was positively correlated with precipitation from 1964 to 1990, but negatively correlated with March–June temperature from 1991 to 2016. Compared to the period 1964–1990, convergent and negative growth responses to warmer temperatures in the period 1991–2016 probably reflect less available soil moisture for growing in this mixed forest. We conclude that climate warming will affect the niches of sympatric species in mixed forests subjected to seasonal drought, thus increasing competition and altering structure and composition of the stands in dry regions.