Abstract
Many coastal ecosystems, including those of the Laurentian Great Lakes, suffer from various natural and anthropogenic stressors. Given that multiple stressors often concomitantly impact ecosystems, it may be difficult to disentangle which stressors are most influential. Upper trophic level communities, such as fish assemblages, can provide insights to the influence of diverse stressors as they may integrate cumulative effects over the long-term and also reflect responses of lower trophic levels. We used multivariate analyses and assemblage indices to investigate long-term (1984–2016) patterns in a nearshore fish assemblage indexed via annual trawling in the Indiana waters of southern Lake Michigan. Based on observations from other regions of the Great Lakes, we expected that oligotrophication, due to reduced nutrient loading and filtering by invasive mussels, would have a strong influence on the fish assemblage. However, we were unsure if the very nearshore fish assemblage would track observed decreased production patterns in offshore Lake Michigan or if observed increased primary production in the very nearshore would affect the fish assemblage. Consistent with the former expectation, overall abundance and richness of the assemblage declined over time. However, contrary to observations in other regions there was no overall evidence of species tolerant to more eutrophic conditions being replaced by more sensitive species. Moreover, there was limited evidence of the fish assemblage shifting towards species more tolerant of warm water, as might be expected with climate change. While increased numbers of invasive species added species to the system, overall species richness and native species richness declined.
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