Naturalistic driving analysis of situational, behavioral, and psychosocial determinants of speeding

Abstract

The present analysis used full-trip naturalistic driving data along with driver behavioral and psychosocial surveys to understand the individual and contextual predictors of speeding. The data were collected over a three-week period from 44 drivers and contain 3,798 full trips, with drivers speeding 7.8 % of the time. Speeding events were identified as periods when participants traveled at a velocity greater than five mph over the speed limit for at least five seconds. Data were analyzed using the Comprehensive Driver Profile (CDP) framework which uses principal component analysis (dimensionality reduction), random forest (predictive modeling), k-means clustering (grouping and profiling), and bootstrapping (profile stability) to decompose the predictive variables and driver characteristics. The final dataset included 188 candidate independent variables from the CDP framework and one dependent variable (speeding). Nine variables emerged as significant predictors of speeding onset with an AUC of 0.88, including the percent of trip time spent idling and speeding, highway driving in low traffic conditions, and positive attitudes toward phone use. Percent of trip speeding was associated with a higher likelihood of speeding by up to 42 percent, and percent trip idling was associated with it by up to 30 percent. Driver profile clusters revealed four types: Traffic & Idling Speeders, Infrequent Speeders, Frequent Speeders, and Situational Speeders. The present analysis demonstrates the importance of situational factors and individual differences in motivating speeding behavior. Countermeasures targeting speeding may be more effective if they address the root causes of the behavior in addition to the behavior itself.