Abstract

In contemporary times, the existing literature provides a blurred image regarding the connection between natural resources and financial market development. Some studies validate the financial resource curse, while others reveal financial resource blessings. To reach a true conclusion, this study analyzes the impact of natural resources on financial market development in the presence of financial risk and technological innovation. Exploring the nexus in four South Asian economies, this study covers the period from 1990 to 2020. Due to the data's asymmetric distribution, this study uses the novel non-parametric (bootstrap quantile regression) technique. The empirical results revealed that natural resources are a curse in the development of financial markets. That is, natural resources are negatively associated with financial market development. On the other hand, financial risk and technological innovation are the substantial factors of financial market development, which positively affect financial markets throughout quantiles. The robustness of the model is also tested via parametric (robust regression) and non-parametric (panel quantile regression) approaches. Unidirectional causal impact is observed from natural resources, financial risk, technological innovation, and financial market development. Based on the empirical findings, this study directed the channelization of natural resources, reducing financial risk and enhancing investment in research, development, and human capital.

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