Natural resources and economic growth: Does political regime matter for Tunisia?

Abstract

The discussion on the effect of natural resources on economic growth remains a contentious issue of scientific research. An emerging issue to this discussion is the role of political regime in determining the nature of the growth and natural resource nexus. Consequently, this study examines the effect of natural resources on the economic growth of Tunisia and how the country's political regime moderates this relationship using annual time series data over the 1970–2017 period. Regression analysis established that in the long‐run natural resources generally have positive effects on the country's economic growth, while political regime has mixed effects on economic growth. The interaction between political regime and resources indicates democracy enhances the positive gains from natural resources on economic growth although in the short run, the outcome is mixed. The effects of specific natural resource (oil, mineral, and forest rents) on sectoral growth are positive. Political regime interacts with oil, mineral, and forest rents to propel growth in the agricultural sector. The study concludes that democratic regime is crucial for the effective utilization of resources for long‐run economic growth in the country. Beyond natural resource abundance examined in this study, there is a further need to analyze the extent to which the economy relies on these natural resources and its effect on the economy in future studies. This would elucidate the “natural resource blessings” estimated in this study. The role of other measures of institutional quality on the subject matter can be explored in Tunisia and other countries in future studies.