Natural history of patients with low-level HIV viremia on antiretroviral therapy.

Abstract

Ultrasensitive assays for HIV RNA have identified a significant number of patients with persistent low-level viremia despite antiretroviral therapy. The clinical implications of maintaining antiretroviral therapy during low-level HIV viremia remain unclear. The primary objective of this study was to determine the rate and risk factors for virological increase in subjects with low-level HIV viremia who did not change antiretroviral therapy. Between July 1998 and February 2002, we retrospectively observed 79 HIV-infected adults with low-level HIV viremia (between 50 and 500 copies per milliliter) who had been on a stable antiretroviral regimen for at least 3 months and continued that regimen for at least 3 more months. Virologic increase, defined as HIV RNA levels greater than 1000 copies per milliliter, was observed in 29 of the 79 (37%) subjects. The CD4 cell counts decreased by a median of 1.8 cells/mm(3) per month (interquartile range [IQR], -19.6 to 2.3 cells/mm3) in this group but increased by a median of 0.5 cells/mm3 per month (IQR, -6.3 to 5.8 cells/mm3) in the 50 subjects who did not experience virologic increase. A Kaplan-Meier estimate showed that at 3 years of follow-up, approximately 40% of the observed cohort had not experienced virologic increase. There was a higher rate of virologic increase per log increase in HIV viral load at entry into the cohort (adjusted hazards ratio [HR] 3.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1 to 12.6). Subjects of white race were also more likely to experience virological increase (adjusted HR 2.6; CI, 1.2 to 5.8). Maintenance of antiretroviral therapy despite low-level HIV viremia provided sustained immunological benefit over a 2-year period in approximately two thirds of our cohort. Higher initial HIV RNA levels and white race were predictors for virologic increase.