Abstract
COVID-19, as a global pandemic, has spread across Indonesia. Jakarta, as the capital of Indonesia, is the province with the most positive cases. The government has issued various guidelines, both at the central and regional levels. Since it began in 2021, the planned new measures, called ‘Pemberlakuan Pembatasan Kegiatan Masyarakat Darurat’, or PPKM emergency public activity restrictions, began with the possibility that the number of active cases might decrease. Accordingly, global vaccinations were also carried out, as they were in Indonesia. However, the first phase prioritized frontline health workers and high-risk elderly people. This study conducted a causal impact analysis to determine the effectiveness of PPKM in Jakarta and its vaccination program against the increase in daily new cases. Based on this test, PPKM showed a significant effect on the addition of daily new cases and recovered cases. Conversely, the vaccination program only had a significant impact on recovered cases. A forecast of the COVID-19 cases was conducted and indicated that the daily new cases showed a negative trend, although it fluctuated for the next 7 days, while death and recovered cases continued to increase. Hence, it can be said that the vaccination program has still not shown its effectiveness in decreasing the number of daily new cases while PPKM is quite effective in suppressing new cases.
Highlights
The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been deemed a global pandemic by WorldHealth Organization (WHO)
This study aims to determine the effectiveness of Pemberlakuan Pembatasan Kegiatan Masyarakat’ (PPKM) in Jakarta and the vaccination program against the increase in daily new cases, conducting a causal impact analysis using only the two month time period following the vaccination program; we use neural network models that are suitable for capturing patterns in the data for prediction
This dataset will be used in order to test whether the implementation of PPKM in Jakarta and its vaccination program were effected a decline in the active cases in Indonesia, in Jakarta, which is the province with the highest case count
Summary
The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been deemed a global pandemic by WorldHealth Organization (WHO). The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been deemed a global pandemic by World. The virus was called 2019nCoV when it was first discovered in Wuhan, China, in people who had been exposed to seafood or wet markets. Attempts to identify potential intermediate hosts appear to have been neglected in Wuhan, and resulted in rapid transmission routes emerging in various countries [2]. Previous MERS and SARS incidents, that is human-to-human transmission, occurred through droplets and contact with contaminated objects; same transmission was seen in COVID-19 [3,4,5]. In order to prevent the spread of this virus, people needed to regularly wash their hands using soap, cook meat and eggs well, and avoid close contact with or keep a distance from people who have symptoms of respiratory
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
