Abstract

The lack of sufficient ground truth data has always constrained supervised learning, thereby hindering the generation of up-to-date satellite-derived thematic maps. This is all the more true for those applications requiring frequent updates over large areas such as cropland mapping. Therefore, we present a method enabling the automated production of spatially consistent cropland maps at the national scale, based on spectral-temporal features and outdated land cover information. Following an unsupervised approach, this method extracts reliable calibration pixels based on their labels in the outdated map and their spectral signatures. To ensure spatial consistency and coherence in the map, we first propose to generate seamless input images by normalizing the time series and deriving spectral-temporal features that target salient cropland characteristics. Second, we reduce the spatial variability of the class signatures by stratifying the country and by classifying each stratum independently. Finally, we remove speckle with a weighted majority filter accounting for per-pixel classification confidence. Capitalizing on a wall-to-wall validation data set, the method was tested in South Africa using a 16-year old land cover map and multi-sensor Landsat time series. The overall accuracy of the resulting cropland map reached 92%. A spatially explicit validation revealed large variations across the country and suggests that intensive grain-growing areas were better characterized than smallholder farming systems. Informative features in the classification process vary from one stratum to another but features targeting the minimum of vegetation as well as short-wave infrared features were consistently important throughout the country. Overall, the approach showed potential for routinely delivering consistent cropland maps over large areas as required for operational crop monitoring.

Highlights

  • South African households’ vulnerability to hunger has declined in the past ten years from 24% to 12% in 2011 [1, 2]

  • With the dearth of in situ data and the requirement of achieving spatial consistency as a backdrop, we present a method to derive automatically national-scale cropland maps based on multi-sensor Landsat time series and outdated land cover information

  • We evaluated the degree of association of the explanatory variables with the overall accuracy and the F-scores with multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) [63]

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Summary

Introduction

South African households’ vulnerability to hunger has declined in the past ten years from 24% to 12% in 2011 [1, 2]. Progress in achieving food security is in jeopardy as the agriculture sector faces considerable impact from climate change. South Africa, on average, has been hotter and drier during the last 10 years than during the 1970s. Those changes in climate and water use affect the livelihoods of the vast majority of people, especially those already considered vulnerable [3]. [5] employed an econometric model to estimate how sensitive the nation’s agriculture may be to changes in rainfall. The Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of South Africa has developed and implemented an Early Warning System disseminating extreme weather warnings [3]

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