Abstract

Land-use and cover change (LUCC) impacts global environmental changes. Therefore, it is crucial to obtain cross-national level LUCC data that represents past and actual LUCC. As urban areas exhibit the most significant dynamics of the changes, accompanied by such processes as urban sprawl, it seems desirable to take into account LUCC information from such areas to acquire national level information. The paper analyses land-use changes (LUCs) in urban areas in Czechia, Poland, and Slovakia. The analysis is based on functional urban area (FUA) data from the European Urban Atlas project for 2006 and 2012. The area of urbanised land grew at the expense of agricultural areas, semi-natural areas, and wetlands over the investigated period in all three countries. The authors determined LUC direction models in urban areas based on the identified land-use change. The proposed LUC direction models for the investigated period and area should offer national level LUC data for such purposes as modelling of future changes or can be the point of reference for planning analyses. The paper proposes the following models: mean model, median model, weighted mean model where the weight is the urbanised to vegetated area ratio, and weighted mean model where the weight is the share of urbanised areas. According to the proposed LUC models, areas considered as urbanised grow in FUAs on average in six years by 5.5900‰ in Czechia, 7.5936‰ in Poland, and 4.0769‰ in Slovakia. Additionally, the change models facilitated determination of a LUC dynamics ratio in each country. It reached the highest values in Poland and the lowest in Slovakia.

Highlights

  • The urbanisation trend has existed for several centuries

  • According to the United Nations (UN) [5], urban growth associated with an increase in the absolute number of the population living in urban areas consist of rural to urban migration, an increase in the natural urban population, and the conversion of rural to urban areas

  • This paper looks into land-use changes (LUCs) in Czechia, Poland, and Slovakia

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Summary

Introduction

The urbanisation trend has existed for several centuries It involves an increase in the share of the population living in urban areas. The Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations (UN) estimates that more people have lived in urban areas than in rural areas since 2007 [1]. Estimates of the populations living in urban areas vary because of the vague definition of urban areas. According to the UN, in 2015, 54% of the world’s population lived in urban areas [1]. According to forecasts by the UN, over 68% of the global population will live in urban areas by the end of 2050 [1]. In Europe, there is an upward trend in growth of urban areas, despite a lower or constant population growth rate [6]

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