National and subnational burden of leukemia and its risk factors, 1990-2019: Results from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019.

Abstract

Hematologic malignancies have a great essential role in cancer global burden. Leukemia which two major subtypes based on the onset, is one of the common subtypes of this malignancy. For the GBD 2019 study, cancer registry data and vital registration system were used to estimate leukemia mortality. The Meta-Regression-Bayesian Regularized Trimmed (MR-BRT), Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) and Spatiotemporal Gaussian Process Regression (ST-GPR) were used to model our data and estimate each quantity of interest. Mortality to incidence ratios (MIR) were used to generate incidence and survival from mortality rate. Prevalence and survival were used to generate years lived with disability (YLDs). Age-specific mortality and life expectancy at the same age were used to estimate years of life lost (YLLs). The sum of YLLs and YLDs generates DALYs. The total national incidence of leukemia increased from 6092 (UI 95%: 3803-8507) in 1990 to 6767 (4646-7890) new cases in 2019. However, leukemia age-standardized incidence ratio(ASIR) decreased from 11.6 (8-14.8) to 8.9 (6.2-10.3) new cases per 100,000 in this exact period. At the national level, deaths from leukemia increased 1.5-fold between 1990 and 2019, from 3287 (2284-4201) to 4424 (3137-5030), whereas the age-standardized death rate(ASDR) decreased from 8.3 (6.1-9.8) in 1990 to 6 (4.3-6.8) per 100,000 in 2019. In the study period, total leukemia DALYs decreased 12.2% and reached 162850 (110681-188806), in 2019. The age-standardized DALYs decreased 36.7% from 324.3 (224.8-413.4) in 1990 to 205.3 (140.3-237.8) in 2019. ASDR, DALYs, YLLs, and YLDs rate to high BMI was increasing while smoking and occupational exposure to benzene and formaldehyde were decreasing in the study period. This study provided a better understanding of leukemia burden and to reduce controversies of leukemia across Iran. The leukemia status alteration of the country, is trackable.