Abstract

中国农村能源消费问题是关系到中国能否可持续发展的重要问题。通过调研收集到北京地区农村住宅能源消费及民居改造的数据,然后采用相关分析和因子分析筛选并提取了影响能源消费的变量信息,最后通过灰色关联分析计算出农户生活能源消费与影响因素之间的关联度。结果表明家庭人口是生活能源消费的主要影响因素,节能改造可以有效降低农户能源消费量,政府的支持对减少秸秆/柴薪的使用量有明显的促进作用。 The problem of rural energy consumption in China is an important issue whether China can develop sustainably. Through investigation, we have collected the data of Beijing rural residential energy consumption and rural residence transformation, then we adopt correlation analysis and factorial analysis to screen and extract the variable information affecting energy consumption, and finally figure out the correlation degree between peasant household residential energy consumption and influence factors. The results show that the family population is a major influence factor of residential energy consumption, and the energy-saving transformation can effectively reduce the energy consumption quantity of peasant household, as well as that the government support remarkably promotes the reduction of usage amount of straw/firewood.

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