Abstract
我国轨道建设处于急速发展期，但目前还没有针对客流预测的标准或规范，这就需要分析国内轨道建设较早的北京市轨道线路的运营资料，这些客运资料有助于我们在客流预测中把握城市轨道交通客流成长的规律，尤其是初期、远期的客流发展规律。将有助于我们更好的把握适合我国国情的轨道交通客流成长规律。 Rail transit construction of China is developing rapidly, but there is no standard for passenger flow forecast. We need to analyze the operation data of Beijing which constructs early domestic rail line. The passenger information helps us to grasp the development law of rail transit in passenger flow forecast, especially the development laws of passenger flow in the early and late periods. It also helps us to better grasp the growth pattern of passenger flow of rail transit which is suitable for China’s national conditions.
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