Muscle volume loss a prognostic factor for death in liver cirrhosis patients and special relationship to portal hypertension.

Abstract

We examined the prognosis of liver cirrhosis (LC) patients with and without portal hypertension (PHT) and muscle volume loss (MVL). From 2006 to 2016, 346 LC outpatients (PHT/non-PHT = 173/173) were enrolled (median age, 69years; men/women,204/142; Child-Pugh A/B,230/116; and presence of MVL 15.6% in each group) after propensity matching, following exclusion of those with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) beyond the Milan criteria and Child-Pugh C. Portal hypertension was defined as positive for significant esophagogastric varices; MVL was diagnosed based on a previously reported index using CT imaging. Overall survival rate (OSR) was evaluated from the viewpoints of PHT and MVL. There were no significant differences in clinical background (age, gender, etiology, presence of HCC [within Milan criteria], or Child-Pugh class) between the groups. Although there was no significant difference regarding OSR between patients with and without MVL in the non-PHT group (P = 0.076, Holm's method), the OSR of patients with MVL in the PHT group was lower compared to those without MVL in both groups (P = 0.017 and P = 0.012, respectively, Holm's method). As a result, the OSR of patients with MVL (n = 54) was lower than the other patients (n = 292) (3- and 5-year OSR, 69.0% vs. 86.4% and 35.8% vs. 74.1%, respectively; P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox hazard analysis showed that positive for HCC (hazard ratio [HR], 2.028; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.189-3.460; P = 0.009) and positive for MVL (HR, 2.768; 95% CI, 1.575-4.863; P < 0.001) were significant independent prognostic factors for death. Muscle volume loss and HCC, but not PHT, were found to be independent prognostic factors for death in LC patients.