Abstract

The impact of the Aral Sea desiccation on the climate of the Southern Priaralieis presented as a systemic impact of two processes: water area reduction and wind-driven salt removal from the dried seabed. For quantitative assessment of this impact, a system of numerical mathematical models has been developed, including a model of atmospheric salt transport, a model of the influence of sea area reduction on temperature and humidity fields, and models of the influence of salt aerosol on radiation regime and precipitation formation. The results of separate realisations of these models are presented to clarify the mechanism and degree of influence of water area reduction and salt removal on climatic characteristics. Multiyear spatial and temporal dynamics of the systemic influence of water area reduction and aerosol removal on annual precipitation, air temperature and humidity is presented for decades of the modelling period (1966-2015).

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