Abstract

In this paper, we focus on a new generalization of multivariate general compound Hawkes process (MGCHP), which we referred to as the multivariate general compound point process (MGCPP). Namely, we applied a multivariate point process to model the order flow instead of the Hawkes process. The law of large numbers (LLN) and two functional central limit theorems (FCLTs) for the MGCPP were proved in this work. Applications of the MGCPP in the limit order market were also considered. We provided numerical simulations and comparisons for the MGCPP and MGCHP by applying Google, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Intel trading data.

Highlights

  • We introduced a new class of stochastic models, which can be considered as a generalization of the multivariate general compound Hawkes process (MGCHP) in

  • We provided the numerical comparisons of the multivariate general compound point process (MGCPP) and MGCHP by real high-frequency trading data and we found that results of the new generalized model are as good as the MGCHP

  • We proposed a MGCPP model for the mid-price modeling in limit order book

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Summary

Introduction

We introduced a new class of stochastic models, which can be considered as a generalization of the multivariate general compound Hawkes process (MGCHP) in. We called this model the multivariate general compound point processes (MGCPP). FCLTs of the MGCPP can be viewed as a link between price volatility and the order flow We applied this asymptotic method to study the mid-price modeling in the limit order book (LOB). In Guo and Swishchuk (2020), they applied the multivariate Hawkes process to model the order flow of several stocks in limit order market and proved limit theorems for the MGCHP. We proposed a new mid-price model which is a generalization of the MGCHP and we called it the multivariate general compound point process (MGCPP). We proposed a multivariate stochastic model for the mid-price in the limit order book This is a generalization for models in Cont and De Larrard (2013), Guo and Swishchuk (2020), and Swishchuk (2017). H where λ(t) ≥ 0 and F N (t) is the corresponding natural filtration

Assumptions for Multivariate Point Processes
Definition for MGCPP
LLNs and Diffusion Limits for MGCPP
LLN for MGCPP
Diffusion Limits for MGCPP
Numerical Examples for FCLT
Data Description and Parameter Estimations
Comparison with MGCHP with Two Dependent Orders
MGCPP with N -State Dependent Orders
Diffusion Limit for the MGCPP
FCLT for MGCPP
Rolling Cross-Validation
Findings
Conclusions and Future Work

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