Abstract

Species distribution models are required for the research and management of biodiversity in the hyperdiverse tropical forests, but reliable and ecologically relevant digital environmental data layers are not always available. We here assess the usefulness of multispectral canopy reflectance (Landsat) relative to climate data in modelling understory plant species distributions in tropical rainforests. We used a large dataset of quantitative fern and lycophyte species inventories across lowland Amazonia as the basis for species distribution modelling (SDM). As predictors, we used CHELSA climatic variables and canopy reflectance values from a recent basin‐wide composite of Landsat TM/ETM+ images both separately and in combination. We also investigated how species accumulate over sites when environmental distances were expressed in terms of climatic or surface reflectance variables. When species accumulation curves were constructed such that differences in Landsat reflectance among the selected plots were maximised, species accumulated faster than when climatic differences were maximised or plots were selected in a random order. Sixty‐nine species were sufficiently frequent for species distribution modelling. For most of them, adequate SDMs were obtained whether the models were based on CHELSA data only, Landsat data only or both combined. Model performance was not influenced by species’ prevalence or abundance. Adding Landsat‐based environmental data layers overall improved the discriminatory capacity of SDMs compared to climate‐only models, especially for soil specialist species. Our results show that canopy surface reflectance obtained by multispectral sensors can provide studies of tropical ecology, as exemplified by SDMs, much higher thematic (taxonomic) detail than is generally assumed. Furthermore, multispectral datasets complement the traditionally used climatic layers in analyses requiring information on environmental site conditions. We demonstrate the utility of freely available, global remote sensing data for biogeographical studies that can aid conservation planning and biodiversity management.

Highlights

  • Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used in ecology, biogeography and conservation biology to prioritise conservation actions, forecast climate change impacts, predict biological invasions and test biogeographic hypotheses (Rylands 1990, Guisan and Zimmermann 2000)

  • We used a large dataset of quantitative fern and lycophyte species inventories across lowland Amazonia as the basis for species distribution modelling (SDM)

  • Our results show that canopy surface reflectance obtained by multispectral sensors can provide studies of tropical ecology, as exemplified by SDMs, much higher thematic detail than is generally assumed

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Summary

Introduction

Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used in ecology, biogeography and conservation biology to prioritise conservation actions, forecast climate change impacts, predict biological invasions and test biogeographic hypotheses (Rylands 1990, Guisan and Zimmermann 2000). The accuracy of SDMs is constrained by the scarcity of verified species presence–absence data points, and by limited availability and reliability of digital environmental layers (Araújo and Guisan 2006, Carneiro et al 2016). Digital soil maps have recently become available (Hengl et al 2017, Zuquim et al 2019b) and some of these have been found to improve predictions of plant species ranges in Amazonia (Velazco et al 2017, Figueiredo et al 2018, Zuquim et al 2019a), but current global soil maps lack the ecologically most important variables and suffer from low accuracy, especially in poorly sampled areas (Moulatlet et al 2017)

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