Abstract

While the Oncotype DX 21-gene recurrence score (RS) has been recommended for guiding ER+/HER2- breast cancer treatment decisions, it is limited by cost and availability. To develop a multiparametric MRI-based radiomics model for assessing ER+/HER2- breast cancer patients' 21-gene RS. Retrospective. A total of 151 patients with pathologically confirmed ER+/HER2- breast cancers, who underwent preoperative breast MR examinations and 21-gene expression assays, divided into training (n=106) and validation (n=45) cohorts. T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), and dynamic contrast-enhancement (DCE) sequence at 1.5T or 3T. A total of 1046 radiomics features were extracted from each MRI sequence with a manual lesion segmentation method. After feature dimension reduction by the recursive feature elimination method and dataset balance by the synthetic minority oversampling technique, linear support vector machine classifier models were built to distinguish high RS (RS ≥ 26) from low RS (RS < 26) from T2WI, DWI apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps, DCE and their combination (multiparametric). A model based on clinical characteristics and a fusion model combining clinical characteristics and multiparametric MRI were also built. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and De Long's test with Bonferroni correction were used. A P value <0.01 was considered statistically significant. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) value of multiparametric radiomics model was 0.92, significantly higher than DCE (0.83), T2WI (0.78), and ADC (0.77) models in the training cohort. The radiomics model also achieved good performance in the validation cohort (AUC=0.77). The fusion model had significantly higher performance than the clinical model in both the training (AUC=0.92 and 0.64, respectively) and validation cohorts (AUC=0.78 and 0.62, respectively). The proposed multiparametric MRI-based radiomics models may have potential to help distinguish ER+/HER2- breast cancer patients' recurrence risk. 3. Stage 2.

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